Where You Grow Up Shapes Your Political Behavior: Evidence from Childhood Moves Vincent Pons – Havard Business School; Jacob Brown, Enrico Cantoni, Sahil Chinoy, and Martin Koenen Does the neighborhood where an individual grew up have a persistent effect on their political identity and voting behavior in adult life? To answer this question, we track […] Read more

The project The Chair currently participates in a large-scale comparative project to study citizens’ attitudes under the COVID-19 pandemic. As part of this project, panel surveys are fielded in a number of different countries, with a focus on measuring citizens’ political attitudes and their evaluations of how governments are dealing with the crisis. Together with […] Read more

THE CANADA ELECTION NOWCASTER  ———————————————————————————- FINAL FORECAST FOR: OCTOBER 2019 (41.23%) ———————————————————————————– Post-election update: The 2019 election has proven to be quite harsh for the model, producing its second highest error (around eight percentage points) over the 1953-2019 period. Although I will look more deeply into this in the coming weeks, the SNC-Lavalin scandal and […] Read more

Ruth Dassonneville, Semih Çakır and Philippe Mongrain Summary On 26 May 2019, Belgians will turn to the polls to elect members of the regional, federal and European parliaments, and the stakes are high. While the elections are still a couple of weeks away, and while many voters are believed to make up their mind in […] Read more

par Philippe Mongrain À la veille de l’élection québécoise du 1er octobre 2018, la plupart des sondages et des projections laissaient croire à la formation d’un gouvernement caquiste ou libéral minoritaire (voir L’élection québécoise de 2018). Or, le parti de François Legault a rapidement distancé ses adversaires.   Sur bien des plans, l’élection de 2018 […] Read more

L’élection québécoise de 2018 par Philippe Mongrain Depuis la fin des années 1960, la compétition entre le Parti libéral et le Parti québécois s’est principalement articulée autour des questions constitutionnelles et de la place du Québec à l’intérieur ou à l’extérieur de la fédération canadienne. Bien que ce clivage persiste et que le PQ cherche […] Read more