Party Prediction for Twitter Kellin Pelrine – Phd Student at McGill University Co-authors : Anne Imouza, Gabrielle Desrosiers-Brisebois, Sacha Lévy, Jacob-Junqi Tian, Zachary Yang, Aarash Feizi, Cécile Amadoro, André Blais, Jean-François Godbout and Reihaneh Rabbany A large number of studies on social media are based on predictive models for inferring political affiliation of users. The methods […] Read more

Housing Prices and Perceived Economic Standing: Evidence from Two Survey Experiments Alexandra Jabbour – Phd Student at Université de Montréal Housing is a good marker of economic standing since individuals usually sort into neighbourhoods based on their financial capacity. The aim of this study is to test whether individuals actually react to property prices and […] Read more

Cultural logic of negativity bias in generalized trust Baowen Liang – Phd Student at Université de Montréal Generalized trust designates the trust that people have in their fellow members of society in general. Previous work shows that there is a negativity bias in trust formation. Trust is relatively easy to destroy and difficult to create. […] Read more

Should I Stay or Should I Go? Testing the Influence of Ambivalence on Vote Switching in the Multi-Party Context Klara Dentler – PhD Student at University of Mannheim Survey studies on citizens’ attitudes and intentions are numerous and are followed with great interest in newspapers, reports and academic papers. The implicit assumption is that citizens […] Read more

Laurie Beaudonnet, Ruth Dassonneville, Frédéric Mérand, Luca Sollai Read more

Does changing an electoral system to a mixed system (really) affect voter turnout and the party system? John Högström (Associate professor,  Department of Social Sciences, Mid Sweden University) In this study we aim to add to the understanding of whether, and if so how, a change of electoral system affects factors such as voter turnout […] Read more

The Effectiveness of Group Appeals  Ruth Dassonneville (Associate Professor at Université de Montréal)  Citizens’ socio-demographic characteristics shape their political preferences, resulting in systematic differences in how social groups vote. These group-differences emerge when there are clear associations between social groups and specific parties. Recent work has shown that one way in which parties can create […] Read more

Much Ado About Debt? Charlotte Cavaille (Assistant professor at University of Michigan) For countries with cheap borrowing costs, putting deficit concerns aside is politically more attractive than crafting ambitious fiscal responses to rising public debt. Should we conclude that voters impose few constraints on deficit-friendly policymakers? In this paper, we identify and test for the […] Read more

Measuring Policy Preferences: Why It is Hard and Can We Do Anything About It? Charlotte Cavaille (Assistante Professeure à l’Université du Michigan) Political scientists rely extensively on subjective survey data to measure policy preferences. The limits of such measurement tools are known to all. They include 1) measurement error that correlates with individual characteristics, with […] Read more

Mixed modes of data collection and administration and new sources of samples in the US 2020 election. How did they fare? Claire Durand (Université de Montréal) Tim. P. Johnson (University of Chicago)Luis P. Pena Ibarra (Université de Montréal) This paper presents the results of an analysis of the performance of the polls of the campaign […] Read more