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Call for Paper proposals: Symposium ‘Forecasting the 2020 American National Elections’

Even though elections are seemingly increasingly unstable, and voters’ behaviour seems fickle, the outcomes of US elections have historically been quite predictable. First, election outcomes seem systematically correlated with election fundamentals, such as the state of the economy, and incumbency. Second, what happens in the run-up to the election, during the primaries and the conventions, […] Read more

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Cérémonie de remise des bourses d’excellence et du Prix de la meilleure thèse des ESP 2019

On October 29, 2019, the Faculty of Graduate Studies of the Université de Montréal held its annual awards and scholarships ceremony which rewards academic excellence. Maxime Coulombe and Philippe Mongrain, both of whom are doctoral students in the Departement of Political Science at the Université de Montréal, were among the laureates. Read more

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Seminar – November 15, 2019

Friday November 15, 2019: David Hagmann(Harvard Kennedy School). “Persuasion with Motivated Beliefs”. Pavillon Lionel-Groulx, Université de Montréal, C-4145, 12h-13h. Abstract : Considerable empirical research finds that people derive utility not only from consumption, but also from their beliefs about themselves and the world. Rather than dispassionately updating their views in response to new information, such belief-based utility […] Read more

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Tuesday Seminar – 12 November, 2019

Tuesday November 12, 2019 : Melanee Thomas (University of Calgary). “What Shapes Attitudes about Energy Transition? Evidence from Alberta”. Pavillon Lionel-Groulx, Université de Montréal, C-4145, 12h-13h. Abstract: Energy transition – that is, moving away from fossil fuels as a source of energy to more renewable and sustainable forms – is, according to some scholars, “technically feasible, but politically impossible” […] Read more

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Tuesday Seminar – 29 October, 2019

Tuesday October 29, 2019: André Blais (Université de Montréal), Semra Sevi (Université de Montréal), and Clifton van der Linden (McMaster University). “Who supports electoral reform?” Pavillon Lionel-Groulx, Université de Montréal, C-4145, 12h-13h. Abstract: Electoral reform has been on the political agenda in Canada since the turn of the millennium. During the 2015 Canadian federal election, Justin Trudeau promised that would be the […] Read more

Blog News

2019 Canadian Federal Election – Forecasts for the Incumbent Party

THE CANADA ELECTION NOWCASTER  ———————————————————————————- FINAL FORECAST FOR: OCTOBER 2019 (41.23%) ———————————————————————————– Post-election update: The 2019 election has proven to be quite harsh for the model, producing its second highest error (around eight percentage points) over the 1953-2019 period. Although I will look more deeply into this in the coming weeks, the SNC-Lavalin scandal and […] Read more